Today's qualified plays
Coming up
Qualified plays on the next days' slates. College plays lock when lines first appear; NFL plays update until kickoff.
Slate
Model vs Vegas
Where the model's line disagrees most with the betting market's consensus line.
Minimum gap
Recent form
Biggest gaps this week
Power ratings
Points better or worse than an average team on a neutral field, as of the next game.
Accuracy
Every backtest number is out of sample: each season is projected with a model fit only on earlier seasons.
Betting record · qualified plays
Prediction accuracy · every game
How close the model's lines land to final scores on all games, and how often it picks the winner. This measures the projections themselves, not betting results.